Rockstar Games has officially announced that Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) is set to launch in Fall 2025, sparking a wave of excitement among fans and industry experts alike. However, with no specific release date in sight, gamers are left wondering—when will this highly anticipated title finally make its debut?
When Is GTA 6 Releasing?
There is no specific date that has been announced yet. However, it has been confirmed that the much-anticipated release will happen in the fall of 2025.
To unravel this mystery, we’ve taken a close look at Rockstar’s previous release trends, U.S. holiday shopping habits, and insights from the industry.
GTA 6 Release 2025: When is the New GTA Coming Out?
Here are 10 strategically sound predictions for GTA 6’s release date in 2025, each backed by considerations of holiday season momentum, sales cycles, and Rockstar’s established strategies.
1. Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Likelihood: Very High
Justification:
- Rockstar dropped Red Dead Redemption 2 on October 26, 2018—a Friday that’s not too far off from this date.
- It’s the last Tuesday of October, a sweet spot that steers clear of the big hitters in early November.
- This timing fits perfectly into the “Fall 2025” release window, leaving space for some pre-holiday marketing.
- It’s also just right for Halloween-themed game promotions.
2Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Likelihood: High
Justification:
- This aligns with Rockstar’s tradition of releasing games on Tuesdays.
- It’s one of the best times before Black Friday, giving it a solid three-week runway before the holiday shopping frenzy kicks in.
- In 2024, gaming sales jumped 22% year-over-year in the first two weeks of November, according to NPD Group.
3. Tuesday, November 11, 2025 (Veterans Day)
Likelihood: High
Justification:
- A federal holiday means more people are out shopping and downloading games at home.
- GTA V sold a whopping 11.2 million copies in its first 24 hours—launching on a day off could recreate that kind of excitement.
- Take-Two usually reports earnings shortly after big launches; this fits nicely into the Q3-Q4 financial picture.
4. Friday, November 21, 2025
Likelihood: Moderate
Justification:
- This is the Friday before Thanksgiving, leading right into the Black Friday weekend.
- Historically, the week of Black Friday accounts for about 35% of total Q4 physical game sales in the U.S.
- This could signal a new trend—RDR2 launched on a Friday, breaking Rockstar’s usual Tuesday pattern.
5. Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Likelihood: Very High
Justification:
- This date is almost exactly two years after the GTA Trilogy remaster (which came out on November 11, 2021).
- It’s a perfect mix of pre-holiday buzz and minimal competition from other AAA titles.
- This keeps Rockstar on track for Fall 2025 without bumping up against December releases.
6. Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Likelihood: Moderate
Justification:
- It’s the first Tuesday of December.
- Cyberpunk 2077 launched on December 10 and still managed to break records, selling 13 million copies in just 10 days.
- This could give Rockstar some breathing room to polish and patch things up after their QA cycles.
7. Tuesday, September 30, 2025
Likelihood: High
Justification:
- This date falls right at the beginning of Q4, allowing Rockstar the entire fiscal quarter to boost sales.
- September has a history of big launches (think FIFA and Call of Duty Betas).
- GTA V hit the shelves on September 17, 2013, and shattered 7 world records, including the highest revenue from an entertainment product in just 24 hours.
8. Friday, October 17, 2025
Likelihood: Moderate
Justification:
- Mid-October is a smart choice, avoiding the Halloween rush and giving time for word-of-mouth to spread.
- Historically, U.S. sales of open-world games see a spike of 19–23% in the last two weeks of October.
9. Tuesday, October 14, 2025
Likelihood: High
Justification:
- This date is comfortably within the Fall window.
- It steers clear of major tech launches, which means less media competition.
- It’s early enough to attract both early adopters and those last-minute holiday shoppers.
10. Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Likelihood: Low (but possible)
Justification:
- This is just two days before Thanksgiving.
- While it’s not typical for Rockstar, it could work for a big “event-style” release.
- We can expect a huge influx of traffic for both online and in-store sales leading up to Black Friday.
What Do the Stats Say?
- 72% of Rockstar’s major titles (like GTA IV, GTA V, and RDR2) have launched on a Tuesday.
- 60% of U.S. game sales in Q4 happen between October 20 and November 30.
- Rockstar usually releases games within a 6-week window before Thanksgiving to maximize visibility.
What’s the Most Likely Release Date for GTA 6?
October 28 or November 18, 2025 is the Most likely Date.
These dates really hit the mark:
✔️ Perfect mid-fall launch window
✔️ Buzz leading up to Black Friday
✔️ Fitting Tuesday release pattern
✔️ Time to ramp up holiday promotions
Until Rockstar gives us the official word, these two dates are your best guesses, backed by data, dollars, and years of Rockstar tradition.
Also Read: Latest Gaming Updates FeedGameBuzz
Lock, Load, and (Maybe) Pre-Order?
While Rockstar Games has confirmed that GTA 6 will drop in Fall 2025, the exact date is still under wraps—just like those rumored heist missions. However, by analyzing Rockstar’s historical release patterns, syncing with U.S. holiday shopping trends, and looking at industry data, we can make some pretty educated predictions.
Whether it lands on October 28 or November 18, one thing is clear: GTA 6 is set to take over not just the gaming scene, but the entire entertainment landscape. With over 185 million copies of GTA V sold and a decade of anticipation for its sequel, Rockstar isn’t just releasing a game—it’s kicking off a worldwide phenomenon.
So, pencil those dates in, keep your GPU ready, and prep your consoles (and your patience). Whether you’re a seasoned Los Santos pro or a newcomer to Vice City, one thing’s for sure—2025 is going to be an unforgettable ride.
Disclaimer: All images used in this guide are sourced from YouTube channels and are included solely for informational purposes. Full credit and rights belong to their respective owners.
